winner’s curse

The tendency to overbid in competitive auctions and thus overpay for an item because of competition for it. Because the winner has overbid, she is said to suffer the winner’s curse because she has what she desired, but at a much greater cost than it is worth.

The following items are tagged winner’s curse.

A Win Without Regrets: Winning an Auction and Not Feeling Disappointed

Posted by & filed under Crisis Negotiations.

We have all been in situations in which we are pitted against others in competition for a certain item, whether an award, a promotion, or even in an auction. Often, this competitive atmosphere pushes you to ‘play’ harder than you normally would, overvaluing your objective and over-assessing the importance of victory. Often when a group of people are vying for the same thing, the winner of the auction is revealed to have been overly optimistic about the value of the objective and thus is a victim of the “winner’s curse,” typically described as paying more than the asset is actually worth. The January 2008 issue of the Negotiation newsletter offers three helpful pieces of advice for avoiding the “winner’s curse.”

How to Avoid the “Winner’s Curse”

Posted by & filed under Business Negotiations.

Imagine that at the beginning of class, a professor produces a jar full of coins and announces that he is auctioning it off. Students can write down a bid, he explains, and the highest bidder wins the contents of the jar in exchange for his or her bid.